Justin Hart : Mask Mandates and Cases
https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1340725086278434821/photo/1
https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1340725090514653184/photo/1
BREAKING! Do mask mandates work? Our analysis below.
We looked at cases on days where mask mandates were in place vs when they were not. We calculated the cases per day adjusted for population and:
WITH MASK MANDATE:
27 cases per day per 100K people
NO MASK MADATE
17 cases
That's right. With mandates in place states say 10 more cases per 100K population. Here's the breakdown by state. Many states have had days with mandates (blue) and without (orange)
Drawn your own conclusions.
Team Apocalypse will object and say: "well, states which put mandates in place were seeing surges in cases!" Perhaps... but our data shows that even AFTER the mandates went up... it did nothing.
h/t to our friend @ianmSC
Another objection: "Well, we can never know for certain HOW MUCH WORSE it could have been without masks." First, that's not science - that's unfalsifiable nonsense.
Maybe consider that the virus is beyond your control. See these 6 states with different mandates. Up and down.
Another objection: "Well maybe people aren't really wearing masks!" We have you covered there. Here's an interactive tool allowing you to drill down on county-level covid cases mapped to a NYTimes survey on how people are wearing masks.
https://rationalground.com/interactive-tool-masks-covid-19/
https://rationalground.com/the-human-studies-cited-by-the-cdcs-recent-scientific-brief-do-not-support-community-masking/
https://rationalground.com/cdcs-sloppy-scientific-brief-adds-nothing-to-the-evidence-for-masks/
Another objection: "Well maybe people aren't really wearing masks!" We have you covered there. Here's an interactive tool allowing you to drill down on county-level covid cases mapped to a NYTimes survey on how people are wearing masks. Three counties in Florida allowed mask mandates to expire by 10/23. So I looked at all 67 counties in FL with and without mandates to see what had happened since.
Well this is a huge surprise! The counties without mask mandates have lower case rates and lower case growth.
https://twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1340727406126977026
Our main purpose here is targeting elected officials who use masks as a distraction from bad lockdown policies which dramatically impact society. Until these politicians abandon those tactics ("Cases up! Mask harder!") we will continue to fight this.
Unraveling COVID-19 fears one chart at a time // mktg + AI // data, demographics, and steaks. justinhart.biz@gmail.com // claimed by
@jennyerikson. Father to 7!
http://rationalground.com
